联合政府在上周的联邦选举中意外获胜，这给担心工党削减负扣税计划的买家和卖家带来了新的信心。

澳大利亚央行(Reserve Bank of Australia)也暗示，可能在6月初即将下调现金利率。

这样的削减将与金融监管机构结束当前信贷紧缩的努力同时进行。

澳大利亚银行业监管机构审慎监管局(Prudential Regulation Authority)本周宣布，将对市场繁荣时期出台的一系列严格的放贷指导方针进行评估。

取消这些政策，将使自有住房买家的房贷额增加约9%，并使更多购房者获得房贷。

迪瓦恩房地产公司(Devine Real Estate)的经纪人史蒂文迪瓦恩(Steven Devine)说，通过与买家和卖家的交谈，他已经感觉到一种越来越积极的感觉。

他说:“难怪会有更多新的希望。”

“人们觉得，他们可以继续这样做，让生意更稳定一些。”

尽管如此，迪瓦恩强调，现在就断言它对整个市场的实际影响还为时过早。

麦格拉思•纽敦的经纪人阿德里安•察瓦拉斯表示，对提议中的改革存在许多担忧，选举结果似乎很受客户欢迎。

他表示:“在政府保持不变的背景下，我们看到询价人数几乎立即上升，买家信心也有所增强。”

“再加上可能的降息和放松的房贷法律，我们似乎已经看到了市场的底部。”

萨瓦拉斯补充称，预计新市场或现有市场将为买家和卖家提供一个公平的竞争环境。

他表示:“买家将能够竞争一处房产，并支付公平的市场价值，而卖家将知道，当他们进入市场时，他们的预期是什么，而不会被他们的活动中出现的任何大幅下跌所困。”

CoreLogic研究主管Tim Lawless表示，上述三项发展中任何一项对买家和卖家来说都将是好消息，但它们加在一起将对销售产生"实质性影响"。

劳里斯表示，该房地产研究集团早些时候曾预测，悉尼房价将在明年年中触底，但由于近期的事态发展，复苏可能会更快。

“市场在短短一周内发生了根本性的变化，”他表示。

“今年大部分时间，劳动力负扣税政策的阴影一直笼罩在销售上方，但现在市场信心已经恢复。市场靠信心生存。”

劳里斯补充称，初步数据显示，房价继续以低于去年的速度下跌。

他说:“自1月份以来，经济下滑的势头一直在减弱，我们看到这种情况本月还在继续。”

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Starr Partners首席执行官道格拉斯•德里斯科尔(Douglas Driscoll)表示，最近的变化“就像所有星星同时对齐”。

德里斯科尔表示:“如果这不能激发买家的新需求，我不知道还有什么可以。”

“购房者，尤其是首次购房者，他们终于信心十足……到今年年底，市场将大不相同。”

Changing market forces set to boost inner west property prices

They included the Coalition’s unexpected win in the federal election last week, which has given renewed confidence to buyers and sellers anxious about Labor’s plans to cut negative gearing.

此文章出于 

<Aidan Devine, May 24 2019>

The Reserve Bank of Australia has also signalled an imminent cut to the cash rate, possibly in early June.

Such a cut would coincide with a push from financial regulators to end the current squeeze on credit.

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, the banking regulator, announced this week it would review a mix of stringent lending guidelines put in place when the market was booming.

Lifting these policies would allow owner occupier buyers to borrow about 9 per cent more and give more house hunters access to a loan.

Agent Steven Devine of Devine Real Estate said that he had already sensed an increased feeling of positivity through conversations with buyers and vendors.

“There is no wonder there is a lot more renewed hope,” he said.

“People are feeling as though they can get on with it and get business done with a bit more stability.”

Despite this, Mr Devine stressed that it was too early to tell of any real impact on the market as a whole.

McGrath Newtown agent Adrian Tsavalas said there were many concerns about the changes that had been proposed, and the election result seemed to be popular among clients.

“We have seen an almost immediate spike in inquiries and increased buyer confidence on the back of an unchanged government,” he said.

“Coupled with possible rate cuts and easing lending laws, it seems that we may have already seen the bottom of the market.”

The new or current market is expected to provide a level playing field for both buyers and sellers, Mr Tsavalas added.

“Buyers will be able to compete for a property and pay fair market value while vendors will know what to expect when they come to market without being caught out by any large downward shifts during their campaign,” he said.

   CoreLogic head of research Tim Lawless said any one of these three developments on their own would be welcome news for buyers and sellers but together they would have a “material impact” on sales.

The property research group had earlier forecast a bottoming out in Sydney prices by the middle of next year, but that recovery was likely to occur sooner due to recent developments, Mr Lawless said.

“The market has become fundamentally different in just a week,” he said.

“The shadow of Labor’s negative gearing policies was hanging above sales for much of the year but a lot of confidence has returned to the market now that it’s gone. And markets survive on confidence.”

Preliminary figures suggested prices were continuing to fall at a slower pace than last year, Mr Lawless added.

“The downturn has been losing momentum since January and we’ve seen that continue this month,” he said.

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Starr Partners chief executive Douglas Driscoll said the recent changes were “like all the stars aligning at once”.

“If this doesn’t trigger renewed demand from buyers I don’t know what will,” Mr Driscoll said.

“Buyers, particularly first home buyers, will be feeling like they have more wind in their sails … it will be a very different market by the end of the year.

声明：该文观点仅代表作者本人，加国头条 属于信息发布平台，加国头条 仅提供信息存储空间服务。